A young couple who’d struggled with fertility issues bought a small suburban bungalow in 2020 soon after the pandemic hit. The little gray house was the perfect size for the teacher and her husband, an IT specialist.
But the COVID-19 period brought many surprises --including the birth of the couple’s two sons. Soon the family felt squeezed in their 1,700-square-foot place. Now they desperately wish to upsize to a much larger space with at least one home office and a playroom for the boys.
“If we’d had any idea how fast our family would grow, we never would have picked this little ‘mouse house,’ as we call it. Yet right now, we’re packed like sardines, and it feels intolerable,” says the teacher.
Though the couple are more than ready to upsize to a bigger place, they face two financial barriers. One is that mortgage rates are much higher now than when they bought their bungalow. The other is that property values in their area of choice remain stubbornly high.
“We’re constantly crunching the numbers. But the bottom line is that we need a genuinely great deal to make our trade-up dreams come true,” the teacher says.
Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors (nar.realtor) understands the affordability frustrations facing many such young families. As he explains, one root cause is that available homes are still in short supply.
“The lack of inventory is a major constraint to rising sales. Multiple offers are still occurring on about a third of all listings and 28% of homes are selling above list price,” Yun says.
Still, he’s optimistic that conditions will soon improve for growing families like the teacher and her husband.
“Sales in the second half of the year should be notably better than the first half as job gains continue and more favorable mortgage rates are expected,” Yun says.
Another reason for optimism among wannabe move-up buyers is that a gradually increasing number of empty nesters are now selling their large family properties.
“We’re heading into a major demographic shift in housing that will eventually mean that huge numbers of older people will either downsize to smaller homes or move to retirement communities,” says Fred Meyer, an independent real estate appraiser and broker who sells properties around Harvard University.
In fact, Zillow, the Seattle-based firm that tracks housing markets throughout the country, is predicting a “silver tsunami” as more baby boomers put their properties on the market.
In desirable neighborhoods, the generational transition will come as a welcome relief to young purchasers hoping to enlarge their living quarters.
Here are a few pointers for those seeking bigger housing:
-- Seek out highly motivated sellers.
The owners of upscale homes are no different from any other category of sellers: Some are a lot more driven to let go than are others, says Dorcas Helfant, the co-owner of several Coldwell Banker realty offices.
Some owners have no particular timeline pushing them out the door. Such “discretionary sellers” would like to liquidate but are willing to delay their plans in hopes of obtaining a better price later.
Conversely, motivated sellers have well-defined reasons for moving. Besides financial and health issues, there are positive reasons why some empty nesters seek to sell quickly. For example, the birth of a first grandchild can intensify their desire to move promptly to a neighborhood near the home of their grown children.
As a move-up buyer, why should you care if the owners of a home you like are in a rush to sell? Because hurried sellers are much more likely to negotiate in earnest.
If you question sellers on their reasons for moving, many will give you -- or your agent -- candid answers to polite inquiries.
Helfant says it’s usually pointless trying to negotiate with sellers who convey a couldn’t-care-less attitude about their timing. You’re much more likely to strike a favorable deal with people who are eager to move.
-- Don’t rule out listings that have gone stale.
On occasion, genuinely motivated sellers hold out longer than they should, only reducing their overly high list price after becoming desperate.
Their problem is that homes that linger too long on the market become stigmatized.
“It can take a while for some otherwise motivated homeowners to realize they’ve been asking way too much. But if you’re willing to wait, you might be rewarded for your patience,” Helfant says.
-- Consider communities where inventory is increasing.
Despite the likelihood of greater availability of property due to more boomer sales, there are still many tight markets where sellers continue to rule. As would-be trade-up buyers, you could do well to prioritize areas where For Sale properties are more abundant.
“You’ll do better if there’s a great deal of inventory -- which translates to more competition for the sellers,” Helfant says.
-- Keep the focus on your ultimate goal.
“Remember when you trade up, you’re buying for lifestyle. You’re looking for that perfect location, that perfect view or that perfect refuge from the world where you can find peace. For that reason, there are factors more important than price and square footage. That’s why it’s critical to set your priorities carefully,” Helfant says. (To contact Ellen James Martin, email her at ellenjamesmartin@gmail.com.)