A married couple of hotel managers in Reno are extremely motivated to buy their first home. They won’t settle for less than four bedrooms, a three-car garage and a spacious kitchen. Plus, they want an impressive mountain backdrop.
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“We’re already in our 40s, and have built up lots of savings for a down payment. We’re ready to move this spring for sure. Still, we refuse to fall for an overpriced house,” the husband says.
Though they’ve never been homeowners in the past, the pair are hardly naive about real estate values.
“In Nevada especially, values remain in turmoil due to the lasting impact of the pandemic, which hurt employment badly. But we want a fair deal on an exceptional place ... without becoming house-poor,” the husband says.
The hotel managers are like many would-be homeowners who’ve been waiting on the sidelines for a lengthy period in hopes of falling mortgage rates. Rates remain higher than they’d like, yet they’re still determined to soon actualize their plans.
Skylar Olsen, chief economist for Zillow, the national realty firm, doesn’t know the hotel managers in this true story. But she says they’re typical of many would-be buyers who’ve resolved to make a purchase next year.
“Buying a home in 2024 was surprisingly competitive, given how high the affordability hurdle became. More inventory should shake loose in 2025, giving buyers a bit more room to breathe,” Olsen says.
The expectation of rising inventory means that buyers should gain more bargaining power in coming months. That’s why it’s more important than ever for purchasers to educate themselves on home values in their local marketplace.
“It’s obvious but worth remembering that smart homebuyers should always look into pricing trends in the neighborhood they’ve chosen,” says Eric Tyson, author of “Personal Finance for Dummies.”
Here are a few pointers for buyers:
-- Never forget that all housing market trends are local.
“To estimate home values properly, you have to go neighborhood-by-neighborhood,” Tyson says.
Indeed, houses could be worth a good bit more in one pocket of a neighborhood than another, due simply to differences in, say, housing styles.
A basic knowledge of property values in the specific section where you plan to buy will allow you to craft an offer linked to the local market, thereby reducing your odds of paying too much.
-- Consider free websites, but as a starting point only.
Several free sites provide information on property values and can prove a valuable resource. One example is Zillow.com. Another is redfin.com, which is offered by the national realty firm bearing its name.
“These sites are a great beginning point. At least they can get you into the right ballpark on price,” Tyson says.
But keep in mind that websites are no substitute for guidance from an astute real estate agent with an in-depth knowledge of the local turf.
-- Look to your agent’s database for clues.
The classic method used by real estate professionals to reach an estimation of value for a property is known as a “Comparative Market Analysis.” This technique is grounded in data on recent sales of similar homes to the one being judged.
“If you’re seeking a property in a community with lots of look-alike houses, these comparisons should be quite straightforward. It’s much tougher if most homes in the area are custom built,” Tyson says.
In any case, your real estate agent should find at least three transactions that are at least roughly comparable. Then the agent should add and subtract value based on differences between the home you like and the others.
Real estate pros are the first to admit that their judgments on the value of any given property are based on more than statistics.
“Anyone telling you that valuing property is a perfect science doesn’t know what they’re talking about. Assigning value is absolutely a judgment call. For instance, a house with great curb appeal and beautiful landscaping could be worth more than a very plain house with the same square footage,” Tyson says.
-- Investigate neighborhood economic trends before you bid.
At a time when real estate markets are relatively volatile, you need to look beyond closed deals to see where values are heading.
“It’s unlikely that home values will rise or fall suddenly in any given neighborhood, the way stock prices fluctuate. But across time, local economic factors can have a huge impact,” Tyson says.
In a town that’s heavily reliant on a single employer, for example, a surge in hiring could significantly impact home prices.
“School quality is especially important to many purchasers. One example could be a neighborhood that’s been redistricted into a top-rated high school. In this case, the redistricting could put extra money in the pocket of sellers,” Tyson says.
-- Factor inventory levels into your analysis.
At present, some highly desirable neighborhoods still have a shortage of available properties. That means demand for housing there is likely outstripping the availability of homes.
Because the supply-demand level has everything to do with your buying power as purchasers, it’s wise to stay abreast of inventory levels throughout your search period.
“Before you close on a purchase, make sure you check and recheck your local inventory numbers,” Tyson says.
(To contact Ellen James Martin, email her at ellenjamesmartin@gmail.com.)